Ron P

NBA DraftKings Daily Fantasy Picks for (Thur 01/04/19): James Harden

January 3, 2019 by Ron P Leave a Comment

Picture: James Harden of the Rockets Photo Credit to Yahoo Sports

01/04/2019 features a 3 game main slate starting at 20:00 EST

Point Guard

Top Dogs

James Harden $11000 on DraftKings. His salary is lower than the previous games. With his daily fantasy projection of 63.8. To me, he his worth every bit of the salary. It doesn’t matter that he is playing the Warriors on the road. He is on fire right now.

Stephen Curry $9500 on DraftKings. In his past 3 games he has over 50 daily fantasy points. He will be free to shot tonight against the Rockets who give up 43.1 daily fantasy points to the point guard position.

Value Play

Austin Rivers $4600 on DraftKings. He will get the minutes. He has been logging well over 30 minutes a game since Chris Paul has been out. I figure he is lock for over 25 daily fantasy points. Also Bryn Forbes $4400 on DraftKings, he has been averaging over 30 minutes per game and he has one of the higher (plus/minus 4.67) for tonight.

NBA DraftKings Fantasy Picks (Tues. 01/01): Joel Embiid

January 1, 2019 by Ron P Leave a Comment

01/01/2019 features a 5 game main slate starting at 19:00 ET.

Point Guard

Top Dogs

Topping today’s list is Damian Lillard $8700 on DraftKings. He is coming off a game against PHIL where he only had 29.25 DK points. He is averaging 39.65 DraftKings points in his last 5 games. For Damien to be effective he needs a usage around 30%. His projective usage tonight is 29.25%. He has good match up. SAC gives up 67.5 FPTS to the PG position.

His opponent De’Aaron Fox $8200 on DraftKings is also a good choice. He has scored over 40 DraftKings points in his last 6 games.

Value Play

TJ McConnell $3600 on DraftKings. He has a projected plus/minus of 4.21. He has scored double digit points in his last two games which has related to over 25 DraftKings points. [Read more…] about NBA DraftKings Fantasy Picks (Tues. 01/01): Joel Embiid

Washington Wizards DFS Analysis without John Wall

December 30, 2018 by Ron P Leave a Comment

It was recently announced that John Wall is going to miss the remainder of the season for the Washington Wizards. Up until this point of the season. John Wall has missed 5 total games. We are going to look at how this will affect DFS picks for the players on the Washington Wizards.

The person who benefits the most is Bradley Beal. He is averaging 53.8 DraftKings points in 5 games. His usage is 31.9%. His average salary during that time is 8160. Thomas Bryant is your best value play. He averages 34.05 DraftKings points in only 28.4 minutes per game. According to the numbers Otto Porter doesn’t benefit from John Wall being off the floor. His plus/minus is -5.9 with John Wall off the floor. View the table below to get a glance of the numbers with John Wall off the floor. [Read more…] about Washington Wizards DFS Analysis without John Wall

NCAAF Betting Trends for Week 1 2018

September 3, 2018 by Ron P Leave a Comment

One of my favorite angles for betting in the early part of the NCAAF season is betting on the Home Dogs. Sometimes I pick them to outright win the game if everything add up. The University of Maryland win over the University of Texas is a perfect example of this. University Maryland was 13.5 dog in home. The key to that bet is that it must be a true home game for the underdog. Not a game on a neutral field. Following NCAAF Betting Trends is very important part of sports betting. Below is how the NCAAF season has played out so far against the spread.

Against The Spread

Category	Record	Percent
Away Teams	42-43-2	49.41%
Home Teams	43-42-2	50.59%
Favorites	43-42-2	50.59%
Dogs	42-43-2	49.41%
Away Favorites	9-9-0	50.00%
Away Dogs	33-34-2	49.25%
Home Favorites	34-33-2	50.75%
Home Dogs	9-9-0	50.00%

As you can see by the numbers for this week, everything is around 50%. You have to study and select the correct games and fire.

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Miami Heat Pick- March 27,2018

March 27, 2018 by Ron P Leave a Comment

Cleveland has covered the spread in their last 5 games and they have also won 5 games straight.

Miami has lost it’s last 2 games but has still covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games.

Cavs: LeBron James was named player of the week again, for the second straight week. Kevin Love scored a game high 38 in his last meeting against Miami.

Miami: The Heat has lost two straight, both on the road. The Heat has won six straight in home and are fighting for the playoffs. Waiters and Whiteside is out tonight.

Miami +3 is my pick.

DraftKings DFS NBA Cash Lineup for 11/27/2017

November 27, 2017 by Ron P Leave a Comment

On DraftKings DFS main slate today we have 8 games. Only one team with a projected total of less than 100 pts. Below is my DraftKings Cash game lineup for tonight.

PG: Lou Williams LAC $6500 – Over the last month he is averaging 31.2 FPTS per game. He is projected to get 36.5 tonight.

SG: Caldwell-Pope LAL $5300 – Projected to get 28 FPTS. Great match-up versus LAL

SF: Wesley Johnson LAC $4400 – Projected to get 24.5 FPTS Projected minutes is 36.7. He is getting .73 FPTS per minute played.

PF: Blake Griffin LAC $9000 – Projected 47.5 FPTS. Lakers are one of the league worst against the position.

C: Vucevic ORL $7000 – Projected 38.7 FPTS. Indiana gives up +6.12 +/- against the Center position.

G: Courtney Lee NYK $4700 – Projected 27.2 FPTS. Over the last 10 games he is averaging +8.14pts +/-.

F: Harrison Barnes DAL $5500 – Always gets you over 30 FTPS. Still a great bargain. He gives you .92 FPTS per minute played.

UTIL: Draymond Green GSW $7100 – Projected 37.6 FTPS. Curry and Durant out. Draymond may get 60 FTPS tonight.

Update: This lineup got 283.00 FTPS on DraftKings. Despite only getting 9.25 FTPS from Wesley Johnson, this lineup cashed in my Double-ups and won 87.5% of my Head to Head match-ups.

DraftKings NFL Daily Fantasy Sports Cash Lineup for November 26, 2017

November 26, 2017 by Ron P Leave a Comment

There is 11 games on the feature slate today. Many games are expected to be close. All of the top quarterbacks are playing on the slate today. My Cash game lineup for DraftKings is below. My lineup is centered around Titans stack.

QB: Marcus Moraitta

RB: Kareem Hunt

RB: Dion Lewis

WR: Julio Jones

WR: Corey Davis

WR: Sammy Wadkins

TE: Austin Hooper

Flex: Tevin Colman

D: Titans

Update: This lineup generated 148.06 FTPS on DraftKings.